2016 Election Polls




Tue Jun 28, 2016 
 ELECTION 2016, POLITICS

Clinton leads Trump by 11 points in U.S. presidential race

Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton posted an 11 percentage point lead over her Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday, a small decline since late last week.
The June 24-28 poll showed that 45.3 percent of likely American voters support Clinton while 34.1 percent support Trump, and another 20.5 percent support neither.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0ZE2WM

2016 Election Polls


National Polling Average


Hillary Clinton
45%

Donald J. Trump
39%
Jan. ’16Feb.MarchAprilMayJuneJuly36%40%44%48%TrumpClinton
PollsDatesType, RespondentsClintonTrumpMargin
Morning Consult NEW6/24 - 6/27
Online4,001
4439Clinton +5
ABC News/Washington Post NEW6/20 - 6/23
Live Phone836
5139Clinton +12
NBC News/Wall Street Journal NEW6/19 - 6/23
Live Phone1,000
4641Clinton +5
Ipsos/Reuters6/18 - 6/22
Online1,339
4434Clinton +10
Rasmussen6/20 - 6/21
I.V.R.1,000
4439Clinton +5
The New York Times polling averages use all polls currently listed in The Huffington Post's polling database. Polls conducted more recently and polls with a larger sample size are given greater weight in computing the averages, and polls with partisan sponsors are excluded. Here’s how different types of polls work.
We are working to add data for third-party candidates. Differences in how pollsters ask about third-party candidates can make direct comparisons among polls problematic.

State Polling Averages

The candidates will focus on several swing states. Below are the averages in crucial states with a new poll in the past month. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html

StateAverage MarginElectoral Votes
North CarolinaClinton +0.815
PennsylvaniaClinton +1.020
ArizonaClinton +1.511
OhioClinton +2.518
VirginiaClinton +3.213
FloridaClinton +3.929
GeorgiaTrump +4.416
WisconsinClinton +6.610

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